Self-consumption vs export, why it matters for solar PPA economics

Why the share of solar generation consumed on-site (vs exported to the grid) is the single biggest driver of commercial solar economics.

Every kWh of solar a site consumes itself displaces grid electricity at the full retail rate (~28-32p/kWh for commercial supplies in 2026). Every kWh that's exported to the grid earns only the export tariff, currently ~4-5p/kWh under SEG (Smart Export Guarantee), or possibly more under a wholesale-linked contract.

That's a 5-7× value gap per kWh between self-consumed and exported electricity. For PPA economics, the on-site self-consumption percentage is therefore the single largest driver of project value.

Sectors with high self-consumption have strong solar economics:

- Manufacturing (often 75-85% self-consumption due to constant baseload) - Cold storage / food processing (75-85%) - Data centres (95%+, far more demand than solar can meet) - Hospitals (75%, 24/7 baseload) - 24/7 logistics depots (60%)

Sectors with lower self-consumption need different thinking:

- Schools (50-55%, weekday-heavy, summer holidays a problem) - Offices (60%, daytime aligned but lower density) - Retail (70%) - Warehouses (45%, ironically, often huge roofs but limited demand)

The interventions that improve self-consumption: matching system size to load (don't over-spec), battery storage to time-shift solar into evening peaks, EV charging on-site (consumes solar during the day), and switching baseload processes to daytime where possible.

For a low-self-consumption site, ground-mount solar can be made to work via a sleeve PPA structure where the export goes to a corporate buyer elsewhere, but this requires a sophisticated developer and a willing corporate offtaker.

FAQ

What's the typical self-consumption for a warehouse?

Warehouses typically self-consume 40-50% of solar generation, they have huge roofs but relatively low daytime electricity demand. Battery storage and EV charging significantly improve this.

Can I increase my self-consumption?

Yes. Battery storage time-shifts midday solar into evening peaks. EV charging consumes solar during the day. Switching baseload-flexible processes (cold storage, water heating, ventilation) to daytime helps too.

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